I'm just watching KGMB Hawaii New Now as it looks like the predicted Tsunami from the Chile earth quake has come in around the time predicted, but in a much different profile than predicted.
Of course Hawaii has put on an impressive emergency response for the potential wave(s) to strike, but people don't like making massive preparations with no large waves resulting. ( There were in fact some very impressive tidal type surges ).
But of course the models have failed in the sense of the accuracy of their wave height prediction.
There is a representative explaining this now in terms of the simplicity of the models for generating the Tsunami and the need to be conservative. He's of course entirely right. And the correct and responsible actions have been taken, even if in the end they weren't needed.
However what it does show is the limitations of computer models.
A lesson for all those predictions on climate change issues.
Of course Hawaii has put on an impressive emergency response for the potential wave(s) to strike, but people don't like making massive preparations with no large waves resulting. ( There were in fact some very impressive tidal type surges ).
But of course the models have failed in the sense of the accuracy of their wave height prediction.
There is a representative explaining this now in terms of the simplicity of the models for generating the Tsunami and the need to be conservative. He's of course entirely right. And the correct and responsible actions have been taken, even if in the end they weren't needed.
However what it does show is the limitations of computer models.
A lesson for all those predictions on climate change issues.
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